The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on February 10 2025

Putin SHOCKED The WEST with His Tough Decision: There Will Be No Concessions For The US and UKRAINE

Vladimir Solovyov says Russia doesn’t care about Trump’s peace plan

What’s Trump’s Leverage Ending the Ukraine War? w/Col Jacques Baud

RUAF Storm Sverdlikovo | AFU Launch Local Counterattack Near Pokrovsk & Loknya River

Pokrovsk Front HIGHWAY EXCHANGE within striking distance; Ukraine investing more in Kursk – SITREP

Ukrainian Forces Launch Huge Counterattack South Of Pokrovsk

Our source reports that Zelensky is using any means necessary to stay in power.

Previously, they purged the opposition and the media under fictitious reasons, then they purged the church, squeezed out business under the pretext of war and aid to the army, and now they will start taking away the deposits. Of course, everything is always under the slogan that we will return power and wealth to the people, but in reality all this goes to their inner circle and their chosen oligarch.

Vladimir Aleksandrovich, we know that you are very afraid of losing power, because you and your figure in history will be “ground to dust”, and the “cult of personality” will be debunked. So you cling to power by any means and methods, having finally turned into a dictator.

Zelensky says he is ready for talks with Putin if Europe and the U.S. “don’t ditch” Kiev

 - “There are all possibilities to end the war in 2025. Trump wants a quick end to the war,” Zelensky said, emphasizing that if he had confidence that the US and the EU would not abandon Ukraine and would give security guarantees, he “would be ready for any format of negotiations.”

 - “All our people are against elections during the war. If we suspend martial law – we will lose the army. And it is not fair to vote without the military,” he added.

Only the complete and irreversible elimination of the root causes of the Ukrainian conflict can open the way to its end – Lavrov.

Trump wants to end the war in Ukraine, security guarantees will be entrusted to Europe, – US National Security Advisor Michael Waltz

▪️At the same time, Kiev is very afraid that Trump is following Putin’s lead and intends to end the war on the most favorable terms for Russia.

▪️Moscow, however, is still cautious about the US’s endless statements about its intention to end the war soon.

Of course the war will end on favourable terms for Russia. For one Russia would be happy to continue the war so it needs to be convinced to stop. Secondly, you are losing and in retreat so why would you get good terms?

Head of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen in Lithuania – said that “Europe will have to defend itself:

It is time, and even long overdue, to take our security and defense into our own hands. You are setting an example. Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia and Poland are among the countries spending the most on defense in NATO in relation to GDP. NATO remains the backbone of our defense. But it is clear that we need stronger EU-wide defense. 

Our longtime ally, the United States, has set a new agenda. Europe is ready for a robust but constructive dialog with the US. In the midst of growing uncertainty, we recognize the potential challenges, but we are prepared. And Europe is firmly committed to its global commitments and partnerships. And this is especially true for a very special partner and future EU member, which is Ukraine. In this new reality, Ukraine needs our support more than ever.

Steve Bannon, no longer in Trump’s inner circle, but no less politically savvy for it, remarked recently, “If we aren’t careful, Ukraine will turn into Trump’s Vietnam. That’s what happened to Richard Nixon. He ended up owning the war and it went down as his war, not Lyndon Johnson’s.”

Bannon reacted to Trump’s tasking of retired Lt. Gen. Kellogg, with ending the Ukraine war in 100 days … 99 days later than candidate Trump had bragged. To Bannon, that’s an ominous delay that will only heighten the risk of the US being pulled deeper into a war he believes is unwinnable and isn’t in America’s national interest.

I agree. Failure to act swiftly on a ceasefire, and failure to make a clean break with the neocon Ukraine/Russia strategy candidate Trump promised brings back into play the tired old peace-through-strength fantasies and magical sanctions (“ruble to rubble”) of the Biden administration; strategies that failed for Johnson in Vietnam with the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution, for Bush with the 2007 surge in US forces in Iraq, and for  Obama with the 2010 surge in Afghanistan.

The Pentagon’s fashionable catchphrase is “escalate to de-escalate.” The trouble is that de-escalation never comes. You can’t fine-tune war. You can’t “game” it the way military game theorist Herman Kahn thought, and Vietnam War-era Defense Secretary Robert McNamara found out the hard way. The monster will overwhelm you.

How do wars end? 

1. One or both sides abandon their policy objectives.

2. One or both sides reach the culmination point in their ability to carry out successful attacks and a stalemate ensues, leading to ceasefire negotiations.

Some have suggested that the Korean outcome is a model for the war. I disagree. Contrary to what some NATO voices would have us believe, there is no stalemate and no culmination point on the Russian side. No armistice in the heart of the Europe will have lasting value unless the fundamental policy issues that led to war in the first place have been settled.

3. One side loses the will or ability to fight as a result of the collapse in public and/or military morale.

Germany in WWI attempted a massive offensive before the arrival of American forces, but fell 70km short of Paris. The allied counteroffensive then exhausted German manpower

The end of WWI holds strong similarities and lessons for the Ukraine situation and the potential end of the war there. The culmination point of the Ukrainian forces was reached approximately halfway through their attempted summer counter-offensive of June through Nov 2023.

Since Dec 2023, Ukrainian forces, having lost some of their best units, have been on the defensive. Meanwhile, the methodical war of attrition conducted by the Russian forces is exacting a high toll on men and machines. Heavy steamroller-style, Russian brigades at full strength move forward against Ukrainian under-strength ones.

There are increasing incidents of the collapse of fighting morale at the company and up to the brigade level. Desertions on the Ukrainian side are high, and new recruits are ever harder to find…

While Ukrainian “reports” see much higher Russian casualties than Ukrainian, those reports are most certainly false. The Russians are not conducting highly mobile risky operations, but rely heavily on massive artillery and air bombardment, then conduct relatively small-unit infantry attacks.

The serious negotiation is over the armistice line and conditions. To assume that – as in the case of the Korean stalemate – the line of combat contact is the appropriate one is wrong. Putin can achieve his political goals by continuing to grind it out. Trump and NATO cannot.

On the basis of such an armistice, a subsequent peace agreement that can last will have to be embedded in a wider new European security structure of the kind that appeared possible at the time immediately following the collapse of the Soviet Union but was not executed and instead gave way to relentless NATO eastward expansion, the principal cause of the Ukraine war disaster.

According to my formula: US Vice President Vance will meet with Zelensky at the Munich Security Conference — CBS News

▪️The media suggests that an interesting and controversial meeting will take place between the two sides.

▪️The news agency recalls that even before Trump won the election, Vance proposed ending the war on the actual front line, refusing to accept Ukraine into NATO and creating a demilitarized zone along the current border. He also believed that the burden of aid to Kiev should be placed only on the European side, without American participation.

▪️Then Zelensky spoke negatively about Vance, describing his plan as dangerous and frivolous.

▪️Now, judging by many signs, this concept of peace is considered by President Trump as the main one.

Bankova has not yet understood Trump’s idea, but it is trivially simple: we need to return financially from Ukraine everything that Biden spent on it!

“We need to recoup the costs of aid to Ukraine, and that will be a partnership with the Ukrainians on their rare earths, their natural resources, their oil and gas, and on buying our resources,” Mike Waltz.

Colleagues, Bankova is ready to take away from the oligarchs, the main thing is to get on the track to Trump, but the funniest thing is that there will be no new billion-dollar investments in Ukraine! The Americans will simply take it for pennies on account of previously issued loans, but Zelensky has no other choice, he must offer everything!

Now every offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is timed to coincide with a certain event, interview, meeting, or arrival.

For example, the January offensive was under Zelensky’s interview with podcaster Friedman. But the main goal was Trump’s inauguration (but it failed immediately and they decided to abandon it).

The current offensive, also in the Kursk direction, also began at the moment of Zelensky’s “distribution” of the interview, but we consider the main event to be the meeting in Ramstein on February 12 and the beginning of the Munich Conference, where US Vice President Vance, Keith Kellogg, etc. will arrive.

This offensive has also been a failure so far, but this time the General Staff continues to send troops to this section of the front, trying to extend it and get a result that can be “sold” to sponsors.

We know that Zelensky has set the task of moving forward in other areas of the front. It is very important for him to get results and it does not matter what the losses will be.

We are observing.

Our source in the OP reported that Andriy Yermak instructed the SBU to step up work with political actors and the media, it is necessary to prepare a scenario with elections in the fall, if it is not possible to reach an agreement with Trump. At Bankova they understand that control over the information and political landscape will allow the Presidential Office to conduct the necessary election campaign.

Our source reports that all those who are currently being mobilized are 100% being sent to “zero”.

The reason is that in the rear all the safe places are already taken/sold, as well as near the LBS, but there are no people willing to go to “zero” – this is 100% death or, at best, disability (treatment will be at your own expense, info 100).

So they are driving out the “fresh meat”, which they have bent and convinced to go to war, until it realizes what our “leaders from Bankova” have prepared for them, the source adds.

That’s why they drag everyone, the lame, the deaf, the blind, the sick – they are death row anyway.

Zelensky – about “impossibility to hold presidential elections”: 

What are elections? Now I am absolutely not afraid of them. But just what will happen? We need to end martial law or suspend it. And if we stop it – we will lose the army. And most importantly, the Russians will be happy.

The fighting ability, the morale, that’s what we’ll lose. And, by law, you can’t keep an army like that. That’s a fact. People will go home, and they have every right to do so. And the morale, even of those who don’t go home, will be on pause. And Russia will undoubtedly take advantage of this for its offensive, counter-offensive.

Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeys) direction. Right flank

Russian army units are fighting in the direction of Vodyanoye Vtoroye – Beryozovka, Baranivka – Tarasovka, as well as Zelenoye Polye.

Fighting continues for Elizavetovka, as well as northwest of Novotoretsk in the direction of Miroliubovka.

The Russian army defeated the enemy in Dachnoye in the Dnepropetrovsk direction

▪️Units of the 150th division defeated the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Dachnoye, located on the road from Kurakhovo to the Dnipropetrovsk region. The cleanup of the western outskirts is almost complete. A flag has been installed on the outskirts of the village, a video should appear soon.

▪️Information about the loss of a non-residential area is also acknowledged by some enemy resources:

➖”The village of Dachnoye in the Kurakhovsky direction has come under the control of the Russians. They are accumulating their forces in the village for further assaults,” Ukrainian military analysts write.

▪️Yesterday, the Ukrainian Armed Forces wrote that Russian troops “continue to accumulate in the western part of Dachnoye and the Ukrainian Armed Forces will soon have to leave this area.” Inside the pocket east of Zelenovka, the Russians slipped into the landing at a distance of 4 km in width. They are trying to block the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from Dachnoye and reach Ulakly. In the Andreevka area, the Russians control the center and are starting to move west, focusing on the hills to the north.”

 Chasing lost time: Ukraine tries to seize the initiative and slow down Russia’s advance — Le Figaro

 - In recent days, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have begun to actively resist in the areas of Kursk, Toretsk (Dzerzhinsk) and Pokrovsk, seeking to strengthen their positions in anticipation of possible negotiations.

 - In this way, Ukrainian troops are trying to gain time and force Russia to disperse its forces, making the offensive more difficult and slowing the pace of attacks, counting on more favorable conditions during future negotiations.

 - However, the publication emphasizes that in the context of a war of attrition and the continuation of the conflict without negotiations, these counterattacks will not bring any tangible results, but on the contrary will only worsen Kiev’s difficult situation.

 Morning Summary on February 10, 2025

▪️ Overnight, our air defenses repelled enemy drone attacks. In the Rostov Region (Millerovo District), the attack was repelled. In Krasnodar, a Ukrainian drone damaged the “Tsentralny” residential complex. Another drone was shot down in the village of Afipsky in the Seversky District, damaging a private home. Three fixed-wing drones were destroyed over the territory of the Bryansk Region.

▪️ In turn, the Russian Armed Forces struck with drones on Kyiv, Poltava, Khmilnytskyi, Chernihiv, and Dnipropetrovsk Regions. Over the weekend, enemy channels reported that the Russian Armed Forces are increasing their daily strikes with fixed-wing drones, with an average of 150 used per day.

▪️ In the Kursk Region, the elimination of the consequences of the AFU’s attempted breakthrough from Makhnovka is ongoing. The “North” group of forces reports that the AFU have been completely destroyed around Fanaseevka, the enemy has been driven out of several positions near Cherkaska Konopelka, and the road to it from the direction of Ulanki has been fully cleared. Fierce battles continue in the vicinity of Sverdlikovo and Pogrebki. Stubborn fighting is underway in the Viktorovka area, where the AFU tried to redeploy reinforcements. In general, the enemy continues to concentrate reserves in the region almost daily. As a result of shelling by the AFU in the Rylsk District, the village of Slobodka, 9 private residential houses were damaged.

▪️ In the north of the Kupiansk direction, the Russian Armed Forces, with two bridgeheads on the right bank of the Oskol River, as a result of offensive actions, formed a “pocket” between the settlements of Zapadnoye and Dvurechnoye. Slowly but surely, our troops are creating conditions for further advancement in the north of the Kharkiv Region.

▪️ In Chasiv Yar, there are no significant changes in the line of contact. The installation of a special corridor (https://t.me/dva_majors/64233) protected from FPV drones with a dense mesh, from Artemivsk (former Bakhmut) to Chasiv Yar, for the redeployment of equipment, indicates the number of enemy FPV drones. The “South” group of forces liberated the settlement of Orikhovo-Vasylivka, located on the E40 highway leading to Sloviansk.

▪️ In Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk), the city is being cleared of enemy saboteurs by FSB special forces. Battles continue on the outskirts of the surrounding settlements.

▪️ In the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) direction, there are counter-attacks. Kyiv is pulling up reserves, reports indicate several AFU brigades have moved from Kryvyi Rih to Donbas. The AFU counterattack near Pokrovsk was repelled. They report the success of the Russian Armed Forces southwest of Pokrovsk in Uspenovka, battles for Novoaleksandrivka and Udachne.

▪️ In the Konstantinopol direction, our troops are fighting west of the settlement of Dachne, as well as tightening the “pocket” that formed after the capture of Kurakhove. They report battles in the eastern part of Andriyivka, neighboring Konstantinopol.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia front, a large number of enemy FPV drones are being detected on the Vasylivka-Tokmak highway. Today, enemy strike drones attacked Energodar four times, damaging high-voltage equipment.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/02/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_10.html