Wild Volatility to Send Stocks Down 35-45 Percent This Year - Risk Management Expert Cem Karsan (Video)
This is a 13 April 2025 video from host Adam Taggart.
Today’s guest predicted the market would start to become more volatile during his previous two visits to the show. In the fall, he didn’t necessarily think that would mean lower stock prices. And he was proven correct. But he did express worry that as we entered 2025, continued higher volatility would start to become a problem for investors. And boy, did he nail things with that prediction.
“Volatile” is perhaps a gentle word for the major market swings we’ve seen this year, especially over the past week. To find out where he sees things headed from here, we’re fortunate to welcome back to the program Cem Karsan, Founder, CIO, risk management expert and Managing Principal of Kai Volatility Advisors & Kai Wealth, widely known as @jam_croissant on X/Twitter.
https://youtu.be/VZzmH30UIpw
0:00 – Recap of Volatility Drivers and Outlook
5:41 – Expected Counter-Trend Rally Adjustment
7:44 – 2025 Decline as Multi-Chapter Process
13:51 – Bear Market and Capitulation Potential
14:54 – Lost Decade Context (1968–1982 Parallel)
18:08 – Non-Market Factors Complicating Predictions
24:07 – Interest Rates as Key Market Driver
31:47 – Economy vs. Markets Divergence
35:06 – Cem’s Investment Approach and Performance
43:18 – Non-Correlated Strategies Explained
57:59 – Parting Advice for Investors
1:01:28 – New Harbor’s Reaction
1:07:06 – New Harbor’s Options Strategy
1:15:44 – Gold and Silver Market Update
