#Economy & #Stocks Review - The Fed's Q&A Is Always Meaningless
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| E&S Review |
Much of today’s economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.
Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.
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The Fed’s Q&A Is Always Meaningless
The Federal Reserve decided to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at a range of 4.25% to 4.5% during its March 2025 meeting. The Fed emphasized its commitment to achieving maximum employment and a 2% inflation target. It also highlighted increased uncertainty in the economic outlook and announced a slower pace of reducing its securities holdings starting in April.
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POWELL: FORECASTERS HAVE RAISED THEIR POSSIBILITY OF A RECESSION SOMEWHAT, BUT IT’S NOT HIGH
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) March 19, 2025
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🔴 Fed’s Powell: Forecasters have raised their possibility of a recession somewhat, but it’s not high.
— FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) March 19, 2025
Mainstream and social media hang on Chairman Powell’s every word, convinced he pulls all the strings, yet nearly everyone in the room is clueless about interpreting the invisible hand.
Follow me on ð• or Facebook for further discussion.
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Source: http://www.edegrootinsights.com/2025/03/economy-stocks-review-feds-q-is-always.html
